Strong Starters / Weak Finishers – Running Backs – 2020

Too many times in a fantasy season, you draft the perfect team destined for the championship, only to have them sputter when it means the most. A strategy often used by the savvy fantasy manager is the to sell high and snag the early under performers from another team. The charts below expose those players who started fast in 2019 but in crunch time were a major let downs. The analysis includes game to game comparisons rather than a week to week. Bye week and injuries misses aren’t included in the trend. 

Strong Starters / Weak Finishers – Quarterbacks – 2020

Strong Starters / Weak Finishers – Wide Receivers – 2020

Strong Starters / Weak Finishers – Tight Ends – 2020

David Johnson is already on the overrated list and seasons that end like 2019 did just confirm the analysis. Kenyan Drake out played Johnson in the second half of the season making the decision to move on from him easy. Don’t let the new season optimism draw you in, David Johnson isn’t worth the risk. Leonard Fournette started the season’s first eight games averaging over 13 fantasy points a game. Down the stretch, Fournette fumbled his way to a 7.7 fantasy points per game average in 6 of 7 games.  

The Jaguars spent a lot of time playing catch up most of the season which doesn’t bode well for a workhorse running back style. The Tevin Coleman situation is difficult to assess. 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan says he will use the hot hand approach but who’d a thought it would last for eight of the last nine games Coleman played it. Mostert was the strong finisher in San Francisco and is likely to begin the season with the bulk of carries. 

 

YEAR	GAME	POS	TEAM	PLAYER	FPTS	AVG FPTS	LOW RANGE	HIGH RANGE	STD DEV
2019	1	RB	ARI	David Johnson	19.7	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	2	RB	ARI	David Johnson	7.4	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	3	RB	ARI	David Johnson	12.5	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	4	RB	ARI	David Johnson	13.9	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	5	RB	ARI	David Johnson	15.6	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	6	RB	ARI	David Johnson	22.2	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	7	RB	ARI	David Johnson	0.2	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	8	RB	ARI	David Johnson	-1	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	10	RB	ARI	David Johnson	2.4	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	11	RB	ARI	David Johnson	11.3	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	12	RB	ARI	David Johnson	0.6	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83
2019	13	RB	ARI	David Johnson	0.7	8.79	0.96	16.62	7.83

 

YEAR	GAME	POS	TEAM	PLAYER	FPTS	AVG FPTS	LOW RANGE	HIGH RANGE	STD DEV
2019	1	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	7.4	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	2	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	8.7	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	3	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	9.2	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	4	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	24.5	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	5	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	19.7	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	6	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	11.8	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	7	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	14.5	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	8	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	13.6	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	9	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	7.2	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	10	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	5.7	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	11	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	27.9	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	12	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	9.1	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	13	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	6.3	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	14	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	7.3	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55
2019	15	RB	JAC	Leonard Fournette	10.5	12.23	5.68	18.78	6.55

 

YEAR	GAME	POS	TEAM	PLAYER	FPTS	AVG FPTS	LOW RANGE	HIGH RANGE	STD DEV
2019	1	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	5.6	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	2	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	15.7	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	3	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	12.1	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	4	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	6.1	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	5	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	35.8	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	6	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	3.6	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	7	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	7.2	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	8	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	6.2	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	9	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	10.9	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	10	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	1.5	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	11	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	0.6	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	12	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	4	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	13	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	3.3	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71
2019	14	RB	SF	Tevin Coleman	1.8	8.17	-0.54	16.88	8.71